Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.002641 0.002820 0.003012 0.003237 0.003494 0.003780 0.004126
2024-12-22 0.002401 0.002648 0.002931 0.003285 0.003723 0.004259 0.004986
2024-12-29 0.002242 0.002533 0.002881 0.003340 0.003948 0.004759 0.005986
2025-01-05 0.002075 0.002381 0.002760 0.003279 0.004001 0.005031 0.006744
2025-01-12 0.001923 0.002231 0.002619 0.003167 0.003959 0.005147 0.007286
2025-01-19 0.001835 0.002152 0.002562 0.003156 0.004052 0.005475 0.008296
2025-01-26 0.001689 0.001989 0.002379 0.002950 0.003824 0.005241 0.008157
2025-02-02 0.001641 0.001950 0.002360 0.002975 0.003950 0.005624 0.009438
2025-02-09 0.001621 0.001946 0.002386 0.003067 0.004196 0.006275 0.011732
2025-02-16 0.001579 0.001909 0.002364 0.003082 0.004311 0.006704 0.013810
2025-02-23 0.001569 0.001916 0.002403 0.003196 0.004618 0.007626 0.018645
2025-03-02 0.001515 0.001858 0.002343 0.003143 0.004608 0.007829 0.021020
2025-03-09 0.001456 0.001793 0.002275 0.003079 0.004584 0.008037 0.024189
2025-03-16 0.001433 0.001779 0.002281 0.003142 0.004824 0.009037 0.036513
2025-03-23 0.001410 0.001763 0.002284 0.003199 0.005066 0.010194 0.064463
2025-03-30 0.001363 0.001711 0.002227 0.003144 0.005056 0.010560 0.093184
2025-04-06 0.001309 0.001646 0.002147 0.003041 0.004922 0.010452 0.110901
2025-04-13 0.001279 0.001615 0.002119 0.003032 0.005002 0.011176 0.282583
2025-04-20 0.001213 0.001527 0.001997 0.002840 0.004632 0.010038 0.140455
2025-04-27 0.001195 0.001511 0.001990 0.002863 0.004776 0.011004 0.920229
2025-05-04 0.001190 0.001516 0.002015 0.002949 0.005091 0.012975 NaN
2025-05-11 0.001172 0.001498 0.002004 0.002962 0.005225 0.014271 NaN
2025-05-18 0.001171 0.001508 0.002038 0.003069 0.005633 0.017764 NaN